Wheezing, weak, and weary from the exertion of trying to appear “normal,” the economy staggers on.
Last week, we gained some insight into the ailment. Something in the diagnosis has puzzled us for years: How is it possible for the most advanced economy in the history of the world to make such a mess of its most basic bodily functions – getting and spending?
Poison MoneyBy our calculations – backed by studies, hunches, and deep research – the typical American man (it is less true for women) earns less in real, disposable income per hour today than he did 30 years ago.
He goes to buy a car or a house, and he finds he must work longer to pay the bill than he would have in the last years of the Reagan administration.
How is that possible? What kind of economic quackery do you need to stop capitalism from increasing the value of workers’ time?
What kind of policies and circumstances are required to stiffen its joints… clog up its innards… and rot its brain?
Globalization? Financialization? Bad trade deals? Too much red tape? Too many cronies? Too many zombies?
All of those things played a role. But our answer is simpler: poison money.
The bigger the dose… the sicker it got.
When you say you “have some money,” you usually believe that there is, somewhere, an electronic database in which it is recorded that you are the owner of some amount of currency.
You have $100,000 in your account, right?
Does it mean that there is a little cubbyhole somewhere, with your name on it, in which you will find a stack of 1,000 Ben Franklins?
Nope. Not even close.
No cubbyhole. No stack of money. No nothing.
Does it mean the bank is carefully guarding some 1s and 0s, digital information proving that it at least “stores” your money in its database?
What it means is there is a financial institution of uncertain integrity… with a complex electronic balance sheet of uncertain accuracy… listing alleged financial claims and contracts of uncertain quality…
…and that you are one of the many thousands of entries on the debit side… with a claim to a certain number of dollars… which the institution may or may not have, each of uncertain value.
Today, banks – and this could be said of the entire financial system – no longer have “money.” They have credits and debits. Your deposit is your bank’s liability and your asset.
But look at the balance sheet. You don’t know how many of the claims shown on the left are right… or whether, when the other creditors get finished with it, any of the assets shown on the right are left.
All you know is that the system works. Until it doesn’t.
System SeizureFor many months, we have urged readers to prepare themselves for problems.
One day, the accumulation of contradictions, misinformation, and plain old “trash” in the system will cause a seizure. You will go to the ATM, and it won’t work. That day, your life could take a big turn to the downside… depending on how widespread the problem is… the cause of it… and how you prepared for it.
Of course, we don’t know for sure that that day will ever come. We are always in doubt, especially about our own forecasts.
Still, the potential problem seems likely enough… and grave enough… to justify some minimal precautions. You might cross the street blindfolded without getting run down, but it is still a good idea to look both ways.
Usually, we look to the right… where we see the problems inherent in a credit-based money system.
The feds can create all the credit they want. But real people can’t pay an infinite amount of debt service. Like a junkyard dog reaching the limit of his chain, the credit cycle has a way of jerking people back to reality.
Real MoneyBut there are other potential problems coming from the left…
An electronic, credit-based money system is fragile.
It can be hacked by thieves. It can be attacked by terrorists. It can be shut down by accident. Even a “bug” could bring it to its knees.
And then what? How will you get money? How will you spend it? How will you buy gasoline or food?
Our advice: Keep some cash on hand. Make sure you own some gold, too – real gold, coins that you can hold in your hand and you can flip to your grandchildren.
“Hey kid,” you say with a knowing and superior air, “take a look at this. This is real money. You don’t have to plug it in.”
By the way… Gold just had its best quarter in 30 years.
Do buyers know something?
Further Reading: If you haven’t heard Bill’s warning about an ATM shutdown yet, you’re leaving yourself dangerously exposed…
There’s a massive crisis looming in the global financial system. And it when it finally hits, every service you've come to depend on – from your bank to your grocery store to our federal government – will shut down.
But Bill’s warning is more than just doom and gloom, he also has some easy-to-follow advice for protecting yourself. Find full details here.
Bill Bonner is Chairman of Bonner & Partners and found of the Agora. In his daily newsletter, Bill Bonner’s Diary, Bill shares his decades of accrued knowledge about history, politics, society, finance, and economics.