Showing posts with label Sevastopol. Show all posts
Showing posts with label Sevastopol. Show all posts

Sunday, May 04, 2014

The southern and eastern parts of Ukraine used to belong to Russia for 400 years and were given to Ukraine by Lenin and Krushtev back when they were all part of the Soviet Union. Part of the agreement was that 16,000 Russian troops would remain in Crimea until 2040. Because most Crimeans are Russian speaking, they will surely support the Russian troops against the muderous goons of the west paid by the U.S. In the meantime the armed forces of Ukraine and Russia are disinclined fight each other.


On the ground in the Ukraine
What the occupation looked like in March



A report from Simon Ostrovsky of Vice

I like VICE.

They actually go places and show you what they look like and talk to real people.

The Lame Stream news media could learn a few lessons.

This footage is from March. We'll be showing more recent footage in future broadcasts.

In this case, Russian civilians and Russian military units have just surrounded the Ukraine's Naval High Command in Sevastopol.

They're blocking all the entrances and exists and the base is essentially under a state of siege.

- See more at: http://www.brasschecktv.com/videos/ukrainecrimea/on-the-ground-in-the-ukraine.html#sthash.VzM4beZm.dpuf


Citizens disarming troops in the Ukraine
The Ukraine "anti-terror" force has a bad day



Reporting from Simon Ostrovsky for Vice

Here's something you don't see every day.

Citizens block a convoy of armored personnel carriers packed with troops armed to the teeth.

They block them and hold them and eventually the troops are disarmed.

The troops in question are Ukrainian "anti-terror" troops and the citizens are pro-Russian protestors.

Pretty calm and orderly. I'm afraid I can't imagine our own steroid-jacked police and troops handling such a tense situation with such calm and poise.

- See more at: http://www.brasschecktv.com/videos/ukrainecrimea/citizens-disarming-troops-in-the-ukraine.html#sthash.7BFXFQNk.dpuf

Tuesday, March 18, 2014

Pepe Escobar: "The Obama administration's "strategic" gambit to subcontract the State Department's [plan] to extricate Ukraine from the Russian sphere of influence -- and ultimately annex it to NATO -- by instrumentalizing a coalition of willing neo-nazis and fascists with a central bank veneer (prime minister "Yats"), is in utter shambles."


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Russia 1, Regime Changers 0

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opednews.com                                                 Headlined to H2 3/17/14

Source: Asia Times

John Kerry: War and Sanctions for Russia over Ukraine
(image by YouTube)

















Let's cut to the chase -- short and sweet. 

1. The Obama administration's "strategic" gambit to subcontract the State Department's "Khaganate of Nulands" to extricate Ukraine from the Russian sphere of influence -- and ultimately annex it to NATO -- by instrumentalizing a coalition of willing neo-nazis and fascists with a central bank veneer (prime minister "Yats"), is in utter shambles. 

2. Moscow's counterpunch was to prevent in Crimea -- as intercepted by Russian intelligence -- a planned replay of the putsch in Kiev. The referendum in Crimea -- 85% of turnout, roughly 93% voting for re-joining Russia, according to exit polls -- is a done deal, as much as the oh-so-democratic European Union (EU) keeps threatening to punish people in Crimea for exercising their basic democratic rights. (By the way, when the US got Kosovo to secede from Serbia, Serbians were offered no referendum).  

3. The main rationale for the whole US "strategic" advance -- to have their proxies, the regime changers in Kiev, cancel the agreement for the Russian naval base in Sevastopol -- is up in smoke. Moscow remains present in the Black Sea, and with full access to the Eastern Mediterranean. 

And the rest is blah blah blah. 

All aboard the Finland station
 

The US State Department has practically agreed to a federal, and in fact, Finlandized Ukraine[1] which, by the way, is the solution being proposed by Russian Foreign Minister Sergey Lavrov right from the start, as this Russian white paper attests. US Secretary of State John Kerry -- as when Moscow saved the "red line" Obama administration from bombing Syria -- will go on overdrive to steal all the credit from the Russians. US corporate media will duly buy it, but not independents such as Moon of Alabama.[2] 


This -- sensible -- road map implies, among other crucial points; strong autonomous regions; Russian reinstated as an official language, alongside Ukrainian; and most of all political/military neutrality, that is, Finlandization. To get there will be the mission of a support group -- once again, proposed by Moscow from the start -- with the US, EU and Russia as members. 

All that finally sanctified by a UN Security Council resolution (true, it could go spectacularly wrong, and most of all sabotaged by the "West.") And all that, as well, without Moscow having to officially recognize the regime changers in Kiev. In a nutshell; Moscow called Washington's bluff -- and won. 

So after all that barrage of ominous threats including everyone from Obama, Kerry and assorted neo-con bomb-firsters down to minions such as Cameron, Hague and Fabius, the meat of the matter is that the Obama administration concluded it would not risk a nuclear war with Russia for the Khaganate of Nulands --  especially after Moscow made it known, discreetly, it would create the conditions for eastern and southern Ukraine to also secede. 

Sweden, for instance, proposed an arms embargo on sales to Moscow. Paris took a quick glance at its industrial-military complex interests and immediately said no. Only the brain dead entertain the notion Paris and Berlin are willing to jeopardize their trade relations with Russia. As well as the notion that Beijing would ever join sanctions against fellow Group of 20, BRICS and Shanghai Cooperation Organization member Russia just because what they perceive as an increasingly irrational -- and dangerous -- Washington said so. 

And yet, Western hysteria of course will persist unabated. In the US, where it matters, the meme of the subsequent days will be, inevitably, who lost Syria and who lost Ukraine. 

Here's the record. Dubya launched two wars. He (miserably) lost both. 

Obama attempted to launch two wars (Syria and Ukraine). He -- lucky for him -- lost both even at the "attempt" stage. Assorted neo-cons and the whole exceptionalist brigade are predictably livid. Expect the editorial page of the Wall Street Journal to go ballistic. And expect US ambassador to the UN Samantha "R2P" Power to wish she were Sinead O'Connor singing Nothing Compares to You

It's a gas, gas, gas, not!

The Kiev regime-changers are already announcing their intentions, as in Right Sector capo and confirmed neo-nazi Dmytro Yarosh saying, "... Russia makes money sending its oil through our pipelines to the West. We will destroy these pipelines and deprive our enemy of its source of income." 

That's a brilliant strategy straight from the Khaganate of Nulands playbook. So homes and the whole industrial base in Ukraine should be out of (cheap, discounted) gas, not to mention great swathes of Germany, so the neo-nazis can claim "victory." With friends like these...

Gazprom's executives are not exactly raising an eyebrow. Russia is already shipping roughly half of its gas to Europe, bypassing Ukraine, and after South Stream is completed in 2015, that percentage will increase (EU "sanctions" against South Stream are just empty rhetoric.) 


The regime changers will be trying to wreak havoc in other fronts as well. The new Ukrainian parliament has voted to assemble a 60,000-strong National Guard crammed with "activists." Guess who will be in charge; the new security chief, Andriy Parubiy, one of the founders of the neo-nazi Social-National Party. And his deputy happens to be none other than Yarosh, the leader of the paramilitary Right Sector. Feel free to add your own custom-made Hitlerian metaphors -- even as the risk persists of Ukraine breaking apart. Which is not necessarily a bad deal. Let the "democratic" EU pay Ukraine's gas bills. 


Notes :
1.  Lavrov, Kerry agree to work on constitutional reform in Ukraine: Russian ministry, Reuters, March 16, 2014.
2.  Ukraine: U.S. Takes Off-Ramp, Agrees To Russian Demands, Moon of Alabama, March 16, 2014. 


Pepe Escobar is the roving correspondent for Asia Times. His regular column, "The Roving Eye," is widely read. He is an analyst for the online news channel Real News, the roving correspondent for Asia Times/Hong Kong, an analyst for RT and TomDispatch, and a frequent contributor to websites and radio shows ranging from the US to East Asia.  He argues that the world has become fragmented into "stans" -- we are now living an intestinal war, an undeclared global civil war. He has published three books on geopolitics, including the spectacularly-titled "Globalistan: How the Globalised World Is Dissolving Into Liquid War". His latest book is "Obama Does Globalistan."

Tuesday, March 04, 2014

Pepe Escobar dosen't have the academic credentials of Paul Crag Roberts, he looks like a hippie, and he writes on serious subjects with grave-yard humor. However he has a brilliant mind and has educated himself in the current affairs and histories of the many countries in Asia and Europe that he has covered boots-on-the-ground for Asia Times. Regarding Ukraine, you will read that Pepe has the same disdain as PCR for the US role in fomenting the current "color" revolution but adds the additional facts that Ukraine was already an economic basket case and was about to be bailed out by Russia! So if Russia now decides to allow western Ukraine to secede from the Russian-speaking east, its impending economic crash and current domination by ruthless anti-semitic neo-nazi thugs will be inherited by the EU ...thanks to high ranking US idiots.


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Carnival in Crimea

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Source: Asia Times

A crowd of angry pro-Russian demonstrators, as well as police and media, accompany Ukrainian MP
Petro Poroshenko as he walks through the streets of the Crimean city of Simferopol.
(image by ALEXEY FURMAN / NBC NEWS)























Time waits for no one, but apparently will wait for Crimea. The speaker of the Crimean parliament, Vladimir Konstantinov, has confirmed there will be a referendum on greater autonomy from Ukraine on May 25. 

Until then, Crimea will be as hot and steamy as carnival in Rio -- because Crimea is all about Sevastopol, the port of call for the Russian Black Sea fleet.

If the North Atlantic Treaty Organization is a bull, this is the red flag to end all red flags. Even if you're deep in alcohol nirvana  dancin' your troubles away at carnival in Rio -- or New Orleans, or Venice, or Trinidad and Tobago -- your brain will have registered that NATO's ultimate wet dream is to command a Western puppet Ukrainian government to kick the Russian navy out of its base in Sevastopol. The negotiated lease applies until 2042. Threats and rumors of reneging it have already emerged.

The absolute majority of the Crimean peninsula is populated by Russian speakers. Very few Ukrainians live there. In 1954, it took only 15 minutes for Ukrainian Nikita Krushchev -- he of the banging shoe at the UN floor -- to give Crimea as a free gift to Ukraine (then part of the USSR). In Russia, Crimea is perceived as Russian. Nothing will change that fact. 

We're not facing a new Crimean War -- yet. Only up to a point. NATO's wet dream is one thing; it is quite another to pull it off -- as in ending the Russian fleet routinely leaving Sevastopol across the Black Sea through the Bosphorus and then reaching Tartus, Syria's Mediterranean port. So yes, this is as much about Syria as about Crimea. 

The new Ukrainian Orange, Tangerine, Campari, Aperol Spritz or Tequila Sunrise revolution seems so far to have answered NATO's prayers. But it's a long and winding road for NATO to reenact the 1850s and remix the original Crimean War. 

For the foreseeable future, we will be drowning in a white sea of platitudes. As in Pentagon supremo Chuck Hagel "warning" Russia to stay out of the turmoil, while NATO's defense ministers issue the requisite pile of statements that no one reads "showing support" for the new leadership, and corporate shills reassure the populace this is not a new Cold War.[1] 

Dance to my strategy, suckers

Where's H L Mencken when we need him? No one ever lost money underestimating the mendacity of the Pentagon/NATO/CIA/State Department system. Especially now, when Ukrainian policy seems to have been subcontracted by the Obama administration to the likes of neo-con Victoria "F**k the EU" Nuland, married to Dubya darling neo-con Robert Kagan. 

As Immanuel Wallerstein has already observed,[2] Nuland, Kagan and the neo-con gang are as much terrified of Russia "dominating" Ukraine as of a slowly emerging, and eventually quite possible, geopolitical alliance between Germany (with France as a junior partner) and Russia. That would mean the heart of the European Union forging a counter-power to the dwindling, increasingly wobbly American power. 

And as the current embodiment of wobbly American power, the Obama administration is really in a class by itself. They are now lost in their own, self-concocted "pivot" maze. Which pivot comes first? That one to China? But then we need to pivot to Iran first -- to end that Middle East distraction. Or maybe not. 

Take this latest sound bite by US Secretary of State John Kerry, on Iran: "We took the initiative and led the effort to try to figure out if before we go to war there actually might be a peaceful solution."

So suddenly it's not about a nuclear deal to be possibly attained in 2014 anymore; it's about "if before we go to war." It's about bombing a possible deal so the Empire may bomb a country -- again. Or maybe that's just a wet dream supplied by the Likudnik puppet masters. 

The great Michael Hudson has speculated that "multi-dimensional chess" might be "guiding US moves in the Ukraine." Not really. It's more like if we can't pivot to China -- yet -- and if the pivot to Iran is going to fail anyway (because we want it to), we might as well pivot somewhere else. Oh yes, that pesky place that prevented us from bombing Syria; it's called Russia. And all that under the profound guidance of Victoria "F**k the EU" Nuland. Where's a neo-Aristophanes to chronicle these marvels? 

And never forget US corporate media. That CNN hack has been Amanpouring lately about the Budapest Agreement -- stressing Russia should stay out of Ukraine. Well, visibly a horde of producers at ratings-falling-to-the-floor CNN have not even read the Budapest Agreement which, as University of Illinois professor Francis Boyle has noted, "also states that the US, Russia, Ukraine, and UK need to immediately jointly 'consult' -- meaning meet at least at the foreign minister level."

So who pays the bills?
 

The new prime minister of Ukraine, Arseniy Yatsenyuk, is -- what else -- a "technocratic reformer," code for Western puppet.[3] Ukraine is a (torn) basket case. The currency has fallen 20% since the start of 2014. Millions of unemployed Europeans know the European Union does not have the dough to bail out the country (perhaps Ukrainians could ask former Italian prime minister Silvio Berlusconi for some tips). 

In Pipelineistan terms, Ukraine is an appendix to Russia; it's Russian gas that transits through Ukraine to European markets. And Ukrainian industry depends on the Russian market. 

Let's take a closer look at the new Aperol Spritz "revolutionary" wallet. Every month, the natural gas import bill from Russia is roughly US$1 billion. In January, the country also had to spend $1.1 billion in debt repayment. Foreign currency reserves plunged to $17.8 billion from $20.4 billion. Ukraine has a minimum debt repayment of no less than $17 billion in 2014. They even had to cancel a $2 billion eurobond issue late last week. 

Frankly, Russian President Vladimir Putin -- aka Vlad the Hammer -- must be grinning like the Cheshire cat. He could simply erase the significant 33% discount on natural gas imports he gave Kiev late last year. Rumor after rumor already state -- ominously -- that the Aperol Spritz revolutionaries won't have the cash to pay pensions and public servants' salaries. In June comes a monster payment to a bunch of creditors ($1 billion in debt will mature). Afterwards, it's bleaker than north Siberia in winter. 

The US offer of $1 billion is risible. And all this after the "'F**k the EU' strategy" of Victoria Nuland torpedoed an Ukrainian transitional government -- by the way, negotiated by the EU -- which might have kept the Russians on board, money-wise. 

Without Russia, Ukraine will totally depend on the West to pay all its bills, not to mention avoid being bankrupt. That amounts to a whopping $30 billion until the end of 2014. Unlike Egypt, they cannot dial the House of Saud's number and ask for some juicy petrodollars. That $15 billion loan from Russia promised recently could come in handy -- but Moscow must get something in return. 

The notion that Putin will order a military attack on the Ukraine should be billed to US corporate media's sub-zoological intellectual quotient. Vlad the Hammer just needs to watch the circus -- as in the West squabbling about where to get those billions to be squandered in a (torn) basket case. Or the International Monetary Fund churning out yet another dreadful "structural adjustment" to send Ukraine's population back to the Paleolithic. 

Crimea could even stage its own delayed carnival, voting not only for more autonomy but to leave the (torn) basket case altogether. In this case, Putin will even get Crimea for free -- Krushchev-style. Not a bad deal. Thanks to that oh so strategic "F**k the EU" Russian "pivot."  

Notes :
1.  US and Britain say Ukraine is not a battleground between East and West, Daily Telegraph, February 26, 2014. 
2.  See here
3.  Biden: U.S. Supports Ukraine's New Government, Voice of America, February 27, 2014. 

Pepe Escobar is the roving correspondent for Asia Times. His regular column, "The Roving Eye," is widely read. He is an analyst for the online news channel Real News, the roving correspondent for Asia Times/Hong Kong, an analyst for RT and TomDispatch, and a frequent contributor to websites and radio shows ranging from the US to East Asia. He argues that the world has become fragmented into "stans" -- we are now living an intestinal war, an undeclared global civil war. He has published three books on geopolitics, including the spectacularly-titled "Globalistan: How the Globalised World Is Dissolving Into Liquid War". His latest book is "Obama Does Globalistan."